Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the. Dec 07, 2014 however, the combination of trends, game changers, and alternative worlds provides sufficient breadth of analysis to give any critic an idea of how alternative global scenarios may arise. Brainmachine interfaces could provide superhuman abilities, enhancing strength and speed. About this site global trends 2030 alternative worlds. These challenges and opportunities span multiple business areas, including strategy, human resources, crosscultural management, and marketing, while operating simultaneously at the functional. The us has regained its position as the worlds largest natural gas producer and. Alternative worlds, provides a thoughtprovoking read for any money manager who even minimally considers a longterm. On the sidelines of the annual davos meeting, a number of multinational ceos gather to discuss what they see as globalization stalling out. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012.
Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. A transformed world globalizing economy, demographics of discord, new players, scarcity in the midst of plenty, potential for conflict, powersharing in a multipolar world by progressive management available from rakuten kobo. Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. We go deeper into the bowels and truth about foot strike and try to further dispell the myths that are abundant on the topic. Alternative worlds summary theme major trends ancillary trends megatrends individual empowerment reduction of poverty expanding global middle class narrowing education and gender gaps innovations in communications technologies improving health.
A critique of global trends 2030alternative worlds. Transhumanism in the national intelligence councils. National intelligence council, describes megatrends and potential game changers for the next decades. Overview of the national intelligence council report on.
The reports says these interfaces could also potentially give humans new abilities not. A game without a referee the relative decline of the west, the process of globalisation, and the emergence of new powers is creating a world with several interconnected poles. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an impossible featbut instead provide a framework for thinking. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030. Alternative worlds global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. I wasnt familiar with some abbreviated titles andor words. Peter groen take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends 2030. To preempt these problems, forecasting future drug safety trends and. United states national intelligence council us nic.
This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. The global trends 2030 report builds on the precedent set by earlier editions of global trends in identifying four possible future models of the world out to 2030 but takes this alternative world futures analysis to a new level. Alternative worlds, the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. This report presents various scenarios of what our world could look like by 2030, and is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520. Instead of a set of cassandralike forecasts of doom or a pollyannaish burst of optimism, global trends 2030 offers a balanced presentation on how the world. Alternative worlds leads with the stalled engines alternative world a scenario in which the united states and europe turn inward and globalization stalls as one of its bookends, illustrating the most plausible worstcase scenario. Looks at global trends including aging demographics, technology advancements, global warming, resources constraints, population increases, the dimension centrality of the us, and other trends to project out what the world will be like in 2030. Alternative worlds, published in 2012 by the national intelligence council, is one of the sources that parag khanna uses in connectography 2016. Alternative worlds pdf epub isbn 1933346329 the popes of avignon. Nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. The goal of the report is to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence.
These 5 countries will dominate the global economy in 2030. Dec 01, 2012 looks at global trends including aging demographics, technology advancements, global warming, resources constraints, population increases, the dimension centrality of the us, and other trends to project out what the world will be like in 2030. New and emerging technologies that favor greater empowerment of individuals, small groups and ad hoc coalition spur the. Alternative worlds kindle edition by national intelligence council. The national intelligence council has issued global trends 2030. A century in exile pdf epub isbn 1572840994 glutenfree baking classics pdf epub. Alternative worlds as one of my reading materials for my holiday vacation in mexico. Alternative worlds kindle edition by mathew burrows. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals. The empowerment of individuals and diffusion of power among states and from states to informal networks will have a dramatic impact.
Analysis of issues and future trends impacting drug safety in south. Alternative worlds american intelligence agency report on the megatrends, gamechangers, and black swans of the future, the. It presents these models with a caveat, by noting that none of these alternative worlds are inevitable and in reality, the future will probably consist of elements from all the scenarios. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. Dec, 2012 global spare capacity may exceed over 8 million barrels, at which point opec would lose price control and crude oil prices would collapse, causing a major negative impact on oilexport economies. The rapid aging of the world s population will bring unprecedented and important changes in the global economic environment, creating unique challenges and opportunities for businesses worldwide. By 2030, no countrywhether the us, china, or any other large countrywill be a hegemonic power.
Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Isbn 0397554729 manual of ambulatory pediatrics pdf epub. Books by national research council author of global trends 2030. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. How these six gamechangers evolve and interact with each other and with the megatrends and tectonic shifts will determine what kind of transformed world we will experience in 2030. Global trends 2030 identifies a number of other factors pertinent to the future probability of war, including power transitions, declining us military superiority, resource scarcity, new coercive technologies such as cyberweapons, precisionstrike capability, and bioweapons, and unresolved regional conflicts. The following are some selected excerpts from this report. The aging of the worlds population and its effects on global. Alternative worlds, intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years.
The office of the director of national intelligence has recently released a report titled, global trends 2030. About this site the national intelligence council nic is a u. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or. Global trends 2030s six potential gamechangers the vast changes resulting from the megatrends and tectonic shifts alone ensure a transformed world by 2030. Alternative worlds report is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Isbn 1560768428 encyclopedia magica, volume 1 pdf epub. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Assignmentsopposing school uniforms essay posted by dtw winning. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Slaughter1 abstract the article acknowledges some of the strengths of the nic report such as its use of scenarios. One of their members has asked the director of her strategic vision office to write. The office of the director of national intelligence will host a press briefing to discuss the release of global trends 2030. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for.
In a likely tectonic shift, the united states could become energyindependent. As with the nics previous global trends reports, nic does not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an impossible featbut instead provides a. Some of the examined probable futures are optimistic but some are very scary as well. Several innovations are included in global trends 2030, including. The publication is compiled of four megatrends, gamechangers, and potential worlds that make a framework for the future of the world. The nic is sponsoring this website to provide a forum where guest bloggers can discuss selected topics to be raised in the nics upcoming global trends 2030 gt2030.
Alternative worlds volume 5 by intelligence council at over 30 bookstores. Article information, pdf download for global trends 2030 compared with the 2052 global. Government entity, operating as part of the office of the director of national intelligence odni. The world of 2030 will be radically transformed from our world today. It also critiques it on grounds that include failing to learn from feedback on the 2005 report, over. Arguably, darker scenarios are imaginable, including a complete breakdown and. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 15. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. Alternative worlds a publication of the national intelligence council. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. Global trends and risks that will shape the world over the next 20 years 4 1.
The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment. These are the unanswered questions about pandemics which appear in the box on page. Global trends 2030 compared with the 2052 global forecast. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Alternative worlds, the national intelligence council provides a hypothesis of political and geographic factors that could influence the world in the year 2030. Isbn 1572840994 glutenfree baking classics pdf epub. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends. The national intelligence council published its global trends 2030. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete eventswould transformed from our world today. Isbn 0448461587 max has a fish penguin young readers, l1 pdf epub. Individual empowerment will accelerate substantially during the next 1520 years owing to poverty.
Global trends 2030 by progressive management overdrive. Councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the. The us has regained its position as the worlds largest natural gas producer and expanded the life of its reserves from 30 to 100 years due to hydraulic fracturing technology. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. The nics companion report to global trends 2030, entitled le menu, provides the cliffs notes description of this third alternative world this way. Share of global middleclass consumption, 20002050 percent others eu us japan other asia india china 1990 to 2010 2010 to 2030 projected global trends 2030. Jan 07, 20 global spare capacity may exceed over 8 million barrels, at which point opec would lose price control and crude oil prices would collapse, causing a major negative impact on oilexport economies.
621 1465 1223 1395 1268 1131 1480 50 878 1130 985 859 893 71 82 430 434 84 955 148 1486 50 1104 828 670 442 643 514 389 1119 1454